Friday, 16 October 2026
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Chips & Compute

ASML says AI demand means its 2027 and 2028 supply will fall short, after record €11.7 billion quarter

The chip-equipment maker raised its 2026 sales outlook to €44–45 billion and is looking at adding capacity beyond the 30% rise already planned. China’s share of its machine sales jumped to 23%.

Anawords illustration (not a photo): ASML Q3 2026. Bar chart of quarterly sales, €9.3bn in Q2 and €11.7bn in Q3. Confirmed by official source.Illustration · not a photo
Built by Anawords from the facts in this story. Not an official company image. Graphic: Anawords

How this story was checked

  1. ResearchedWith AI assistance · 3 sources
  2. AI source checkEach sentence matched to its source
  3. Editor approvalMayank Sahu · 15 Oct, 12:24
  4. Published15 Oct, 12:24
Read the research behind this story4 sources read · 3 used · what we could not verify · published 15 Oct, 12:14 →

Verify this story

4 confirmed1 unconfirmed1 not known

How this was made: researched, drafted and source-checked by AI (Claude, made by Anthropic), then published under the editor’s standing approval. A person did not read it line by line before it went live. AI policy

In short

ASML reported total net sales of €11.7 billion and net income of €5.0 billion for the third quarter of 2026 on 14 October. It expects 2026 sales of €44–45 billion and says its planned supply for 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet customer demand, driven mainly by AI investment.

ASML’s Q3 2026 total net sales were €11.7 billion and net income €5.0 billion.1,3
ASML expects 2026 sales of €44–45 billion.1
ASML says planned 2027 and 2028 supply will not fully meet customer demand.1,3

The results

ASML, which makes the lithography machines used to produce advanced chips, reported third-quarter 2026 total net sales of €11.7 billion and net income of €5.0 billion on 14 October.1 Its gross margin was 57.5%.1 Investing.com reports sales were up from €9.33 billion and net income from €2.92 billion in the second quarter.3

ASML sold 113 new and 8 used lithography systems in the quarter.1

The outlook

For the fourth quarter, ASML expects total net sales of €14.2–15.2 billion and a gross margin of about 57%.1 For the full year 2026 it expects €44–45 billion and a gross margin of about 56%.1

Why AI matters here

ASML’s chief executive said customer demand is “driven primarily by their views on the size and duration of AI-related investments”.1 ASML says its planned supply for 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet demand, and that some customers want to order for 2029 and 2030.1

ASML plans to raise capacity for low-NA EUV and DUV immersion machines by 30% in 2027, and is “investigating ways to increase capacity for 2028 beyond the 30% increase”.13

China

The South China Morning Post reports that ASML’s sales to China rose 109% from the previous quarter, taking China to 23% of system sales, up from 14%.2 It reports ASML expects China to be about 20% of total sales this year, as the US presses the Netherlands to restrict more chipmaking machine exports.2

What is not known

ASML gave no financial guidance for 2027.1

Fact ledger

How labels work
Confirmed · 4
ASML’s Q3 2026 total net sales were €11.7 billion and net income €5.0 billion.Source 1,3
ASML expects 2026 sales of €44–45 billion.Source 1
ASML says planned 2027 and 2028 supply will not fully meet customer demand.Source 1,3
Capacity for low-NA EUV and DUV immersion will rise 30% in 2027.Source 1
Unconfirmed · 1
China’s share of system sales rose to 23% from 14%.Source 2
Not known · 1
Financial guidance for 2027.Not announced

Questions readers ask

What does ASML have to do with AI?

Its lithography machines are needed to make the advanced chips used in AI data centres. ASML says AI investment is the main driver of demand.

How much did ASML earn?

€5.0 billion net income on €11.7 billion sales in Q3 2026.

Will ASML make more machines?

It plans 30% more low-NA EUV and DUV immersion capacity in 2027 and is studying more for 2028.

Sources

  1. 1ASML Q3 2026 results press release (SEC Form 6-K)
    Checked 15 Oct 2026 · Archived copy (15 Oct 2026)
    OFFICIAL
  2. 2South China Morning Post: ASML’s chip equipment sales to China soar 109%
    Checked 15 Oct 2026 · Archived copy (15 Oct 2026)
    OUTLET
  3. 3Investing.com: ASML raises capacity plans as AI demand drives record Q3 sales
    Checked 15 Oct 2026
    OUTLET

Updates and corrections

v115 Oct 2026, 12:24First published. Research note published first. Sources checked by AI; approved for publication by the editor.

Written and approved by

Mayank Sahu, Founder & Editor

Mayank Sahu is an SEO expert who loves using AI and learning how it works. He started Anawords because he felt the market was missing the best AI articles: clear, sourced and honest about what is confirmed and what is only claimed. He sets the rules every Anawords story must pass, runs its AI-assisted research desk and gives the approval its stories are published under. Each story says how it was checked.

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